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July 18, 2024

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Evaluating Stock Liquidity: What Every Trader Should Know

Say you have two houses, one in a modern city and the other in a remote town. In the city, you have several potential buyers. This makes it easy to sell quickly and at a fair price. In the village, finding a buyer is tough, and you might have to lower your price.

The above story reflects liquidity. In financial markets, it shows how easily an asset can be bought or sold without affecting its price. While high liquidity means many buyers and sellers, low liquidity indicates fewer participants.

Evaluating stock liquidity is crucial as different liquidity levels call for different trading strategies. Through this article, we will understand how you can evaluate stock market liquidity by looking at trading volume, bid-ask spreads, and market depth. Also, we will discuss strategies like scalping and high-frequency trading that are effective in highly liquid markets. Lastly, we will learn how you can manage your trading risk with tighter stop-losses and handle volatility using careful order placement. Let’s get started. 

What is Stock Market Liquidity? 

Liquidity refers to the ease with which an asset can be bought or sold in the financial markets without causing any major impact on its price. Let’s see what the two most possible levels of liquidity mean for traders:

The liquidity of a stock usually gets impacted due to a variety of factors. Let’s understand their meaning:

  • Trading Volume

 

    • It represents the total number of shares of a particular stock that are traded during a given period.
    • Usually, trading volume is measured daily.

 

  • Bid-Ask Spread

 

    • The bid-ask spread is defined as the difference between:
      • The highest price a buyer is willing to pay for a stock (bid price) 

and

  • The lowest price a seller is willing to accept (ask price).

 

  • Market Depth
  • Market depth is the market’s capacity to absorb relatively large market orders without significantly impacting the stock’s price.
  • It is measured by the volume of buy and sell orders at various price levels.

 

How to Measure Liquidity in the Stock Market 

Several traders use trading volume to assess stock market liquidity. Let’s see how they interpret its varying levels:

High trading volume Low trading volume
  • It means there are several buyers and sellers actively trading the stock.
  • Low trading volume suggests fewer market participants.
  • This makes it easier to execute large orders without causing significant price changes.
  • This scarcity creates difficulties in executing trades quickly and at desired prices. 
  • Investors trading in high-volume stocks can enter and exit positions more readily.
  • While trading low-volume stocks, investors face challenges as they cannot trade them without negatively impacting the stock price.

 

Additionally, bid-ask spreads also indicate the liquidity levels prevalent in the market. Let’s see how:

How does the bid-ask spread impact trading costs:

  • Narrow spreads lead to lower trading costs. 
  • That’s because the difference between buying and selling prices is minimal.
  • Wide spreads lead to higher trading costs. 
  • That’s because there is a large price gap that must be crossed.

Can market depth also indicate liquidity?

Yes, the depth of the market represents the volume of buy and sell orders at different price levels. An analysis of deep and shallow markets is commonly done by traders to assess market liquidity. Let’s see how:

  • Deeper Markets

 

      • Greater market depth means there are numerous orders spread across various price points.
      • This situation shows a good presence of buyers and sellers willing to trade at these levels.
      • This abundance leads to higher liquidity as large trades can be executed with minimal price impact.

  • Shallow Markets

 

    • A market depth is shallow when it has fewer orders at different price levels.
    • This implies that large trades can lead to substantial price changes.
    • Such a market indicates lower liquidity.

The Impact of Liquidity on Trading Strategies 

It is pertinent to note that liquidity significantly influences trading strategies. It affects how easily assets can be bought or sold without impacting prices. Let’s understand this impact by discussing some major strategic differences in trading high-liquidity liquidity stocks (like major blue chips) versus low-liquidity stocks (such as small-caps or penny stocks).

High Liquidity Stocks (e.g., Major Blue Chips) Low Liquidity Stocks (e.g., Small-Caps or Penny Stocks)
Ease of Entry and Exit

  • High liquidity allows traders to quickly trade large quantities of stock.
  • This situation is ideal for strategies requiring frequent trading, such as:
  1. Day trading 

or

  1. High-frequency trading.

Lower Transaction Costs

  • Narrow bid-ask spreads in high-liquidity stocks result in lower transaction costs.
  • This makes it cost-effective for traders to execute multiple trades.

Predictable Price Movements

  • High-liquidity stocks are more stable.
  • They have predictable price movements due to the large number of active participants and transactions.
  • This stability benefits long-term investors and those employing trend-following strategies.
Price Impact and Slippage

  • Trades in low-liquidity stocks significantly impact the stock’s price.
  • Large orders in these stocks cause price spikes or drops.
  • This situation leads to slippage where the final execution price differs from the expected price.

Higher Transaction Costs

  • Wider bid-ask spreads increase transaction costs.
  • This erodes profits, especially for frequent traders.

Potential for Larger Gains

  • While riskier, low-liquidity stocks offer significant price movements.
  • They provide opportunities for substantial gains if the trader can accurately predict price direction.

 

What is the Relationship between Liquidity and Volatility?

Lower Liquidity, Higher Volatility

  • Low-liquidity stocks are more prone to price volatility.
  • With fewer buyers and sellers, any large trade can cause sharp price movements.
  • This higher volatility increases the risk. 
  • However, it can also enhance potential returns for those who can capitalize on the price swings.

Higher Liquidity, Lower Volatility

  • High-liquidity stocks exhibit lower volatility. 
  • That’s because the high volume of trades dampens the impact of any single transaction.
  • This stability is attractive to:
    • Risk-averse investors 

and

  • Those who maintain long-term investment horizons.

How does Liquidity Impact Risk and Returns?

Risk Returns
  • Low liquidity stocks carry higher risk due to their volatility.
  • Trading these stocks at desired prices is difficult.
  • On the other hand, high-liquidity stocks have stable prices and present lower risk.
  • The potential for high returns exists in low-liquidity stocks.
  • Conversely, high liquidity offers more modest but consistent returns.

 

Strategies for Different Liquidity Levels 

Trading strategies vary based on liquidity levels. Traders employ different strategies for effectively dealing with high and low-liquidity stocks, such as:

  • Scalping,
  • High-frequency Trade (HFT),
  • Swing Trading, and
  • Position Trading.

Let’s understand these strategies in detail:

What is scalping as a trading strategy?

  • In trading, scalping refers to making numerous trades within a single day to profit from small price movements.
  • Scalpers aim to capitalize on minute changes in stock prices.
  • To do so, they often hold positions for only a few seconds to minutes.

How do traders capitalize on liquidity?

Tighter Spreads Faster Execution
  • Highly liquid stocks have narrow bid-ask spreads. 
  • Scalpers can exploit these tighter spreads to:
  • Minimize transaction costs 

and

  • Maximize the frequency of profitable trades.
  • High liquidity ensures that trades are executed quickly and at expected prices.
  • This benefits scalpers who rely on rapid order fulfillment to capture small gains.

 

Let’s understand the scalping strategy better through a hypothetical scenario:

Scenario

  • Say there exists a highly liquid tech stock.
  • This stock is known for its:
    • Large trading volume 

and

  • Tight bid-ask spreads.

Market Conditions

  • On a particular trading day, the stock witnessed a high-volume trading session.
  • On the opening hour of the market, the stock experiences significant trading activity.

Execution

  • A scalper monitors the stock’s price action. 
  • They do so by using real-time data and advanced charting tools.
  • They identify small price fluctuations within the tight spread.

Trade Example

  • Assume that
    • The bid price is $150.00.
    • The ask price is $150.02.
  • The scalper places a buy order at $150.00.
  • Within seconds, they place a sell order at $150.02.
  • This rapid trade captures a $0.02 profit per share.

Repetition

  • The scalper repeats this process multiple times throughout the high-volume session.
  • This way, they accumulate numerous small profits.
  • Assume that the scalper executed 100 such trades with 100 shares each.
  • These trades would result in a total profit of $200 (before transaction costs).

What is High-Frequency Trading (HFT) as a Trading Strategy?

  • It must be noted that these algorithms are designed to capitalize on minute price inefficiencies that exist for very brief periods, often fractions of a second.
  • HFT relies on advanced technology, which often includes:
  • High-speed data feeds,
  • Low-latency trading systems, and
  • Co-located servers. 

 

How Does HFT Help Traders Capitalize on Liquidity?

High Liquidity Minute Inefficiencies
  • HFT thrives in markets with high liquidity.
  • That’s because the high volume of trades ensures that:
  1. Orders can be executed rapidly 

and

  1. With minimal price impact.
  • The large number of market participants and transactions creates numerous opportunities for HFT algorithms to exploit small price discrepancies.
  • HFT algorithms are designed to detect and act on tiny price inefficiencies.
  • Mostly, these inefficiencies arise due to:
  1. Market imbalances,
  2. Latency in information dissemination, or
  3. Temporary mismatches between supply and demand.

 

Let’s understand the HFT strategy better using a hypothetical example

Scenario

  • Say there is a highly liquid stock
  • Usually, this stock has substantial trading volume and tight bid-ask spreads.

Earnings Announcement

  • During an earnings announcement, trading activity in the stock surges.
  • The market participants react to the new information and this creates a temporary spike in:
    • Liquidity 

and

  • Volatility.

Real-Time Data Analysis

  • HFT algorithms analyze real-time data feeds.
  • They spot this increase in trading activity. 

Order Placement

  • The algorithms detect slight inefficiencies and imbalances in the price of the stock.
  • They identify that the bid price is momentarily higher than the asking price due to a lag in order updates.
  • It places a buy order at the lower ask price and immediately sells at the higher bid price.
  • This way, the algorithm captures the spread.

Rapid Trading

  • During the earnings announcement, these algorithms execute thousands of trades per second.
  • They exploit the brief inefficiencies before they are corrected by the market.

Profit from Spreads

  • Therefore, this HFT strategy profits from the small price differences captured during the brief moments of inefficiency.
  • Even if each trade results in a tiny profit, the high volume of trades leads to significant cumulative gains.

What do you mean by Swing Trading?

Swing trading refers to a trading style in which traders hold positions for several days to weeks. They do so to capitalize on expected price movements within this time frame. The primary goal of swing traders is to capture gains from price swings in less liquid stocks, where larger price jumps are more common.

Further, it must be noted that swing trading is well-suited to less liquid stocks. That’s because these stocks experience more significant price swings due to:

  • Lower trading volumes 

and

  • Wider spreads.

Using this strategy, traders take advantage of the volatility inherent in these stocks.

Let’s understand swing trading better using a hypothetical example:

Scenario

  • Consider a small-cap biotech company. 
  • Its stock is less liquid due to its niche market and low trading volume.

Event Catalyst

  • The company is awaiting an FDA approval announcement for a new drug.
  • Usually, such events generate significant interest and lead to substantial price movements.

Technical Analysis

  • The swing trader uses technical analysis tools, such as:
    • Chart patterns,
    • Moving averages, and
    • Momentum indicators.
  • Using them, they are able to predict the stock’s price movement
  • They identify a pattern suggesting an upward trend in anticipation of the FDA announcement

Trade Execution

  • The trader buys shares at $10 per share when technical indicators suggest a breakout.
  • Over the next two weeks, as the FDA approval date approaches, the stock’s price begins to climb.
  • That’s because of increased speculation and buying interest.
  • The trader sells the shares at $15 per share after the approval is announced.
  • By doing so, the trader captured a 50% gain.

What do you mean by Position Trading?

Different from what we read above; position trading involves holding positions for several months to years. Most position holders aim to benefit from:

  • Long-term trends 

and

  • Significant price movements

This strategy is ideal for stocks with low trading volumes and substantial volatility. That’s because it focuses on the overall trend rather than short-term price changes. Furthermore, traders using this strategy are less concerned with:

  • Short-term price jumps 

and

  • Wide spreads

Let’s understand this strategy better using a hypothetical example:

Scenario

  • Consider a niche manufacturing company.
  • The company has developed a new and innovative product line.
  • They are expecting substantial growth.

Fundamental Analysis

  • A position trader is interested in the company.
  • They conduct a thorough fundamental analysis by assessing:
    • The company’s financial health,
    • Product potential, and
    • Market positioning.
  • They determine that the new product line will significantly boost revenues and profits over the next few years.

Trade Execution

  • Based on the fundamental analysis, the trader buys shares at $20 per share.
  • Over the next 18 months, the company’s new product line gains traction.
  • This leads to increased sales and market share.
  • The stock gradually appreciates as the market recognizes the company’s growth potential.
  • The trader sells the shares at $40 per share after achieving their target price.
  • This way, the trader almost doubles their investment.

How Manage Risks When Trading Stocks with Different Liquidity Levels?

By following effective risk management strategies, traders can accommodate greater volatility and minimize their chances of incurring losses. Let’s see how you can manage risks for both high-liquidity and low-liquidity stocks:

Managing risk for high liquidity stocks Managing risk for low liquidity stocks
Place Tighter Stop-Losses

  • For high-liquidity stocks, use tighter stop-loss orders to limit losses quickly if the trade moves against you.
  • For example,
  1. Say you are trading a highly liquid stock like ABC Ltd.
  2. You can set a stop-loss 1-2% below the entry price to minimize potential losses.

Take-Profit Orders

  • In the same way, you can set take-profit orders close to the entry point.
  • This will allow you to lock in small and frequent profits.
  • It must be noted that stable price movements in high-liquidity stocks make it easier to predict and capture these gains.
  • For example,
  1. Say you set a take-profit order 1-2% above the entry price.
  2. This will help you make quick exits and realize gains on favorable moves.
Using Wider Stop-Losses

  • You can place wider-stop loss orders for low-liquidity stocks.
  • This way, you can accommodate greater volatility and prevent being stopped out by normal price fluctuations.
  • For example
  1. Say you are trading a low-liquidity biotech stock.
  2. You can set a stop-loss at 5-10% below the entry price. 
  3. By doing this, you can allow for the stock’s natural volatility.

Careful Order Placement

  • You must understand that trades in low-liquidity stocks significantly influence the market price.
  • This creates adverse moves against the trader’s position.
  • Thus, avoid placing large orders at once so that there are no price spikes or drops.
  • For example,
  1. You broke one single large order into smaller orders.
  2. This way, you minimize the market impact.

 

Also, note that trades in low-liquidity stocks influence the market price more significantly. They have a greater potential to create adverse moves against the trader’s position. Let’s see how you can minimize their impact:

  • Use limit orders instead of market orders.
  • This usage will help you in:
    • Controlling the execution price 

and

  • Preventing unintended price moves.
  • Keep monitoring the:
    • The price action of the stock 

and

  • Order book depth.
  • This kind of analysis will help you gain insights into the best times and prices for order placement.

Tips for Evaluating and Trading Based on Liquidity 

It must be noted that evaluating liquidity is crucial for successful trading. 

Liquidity assessment can be done by using several tools like:

  • Volume bars,
  • Depth of market indicators, and
  • Historical spread data.

Read the table below to understand their usage:

Tools Usage Interpretation Example
Volume Bars Volume bars show the number of shares traded during a specific period. They are mostly displayed on price charts.
  • High volume indicates high liquidity.
  • It suggests that there are plenty of buyers and sellers.
  • This market situation makes it easier to execute trades without affecting the price significantly.
  • Assume that you observed volume spikes in a stock around earnings announcements.
  • You noticed increased liquidity that created more favorable trading conditions.
Depth of Market (DOM) Indicators DOM indicators (also known as Level 2 quotes) show the real-time order book with the current bids and asks at various price levels.
  • A deeper market characterized by a substantial volume of orders at varying price levels suggests higher liquidity.
  • On the other hand, a shallow market suggests lower liquidity.
  • Say you are analyzing the DOM for a mid-cap tech stock
  • You observe a significant number of buy and sell orders spread across a range of prices.
  • This suggests a liquid market suitable for quick trades.
Historical Spread Data Historical spread data tracks the difference between the bid and ask prices over time.
  • Narrow spreads indicate higher liquidity.
  • Conversely, wider spreads suggest lower liquidity.
  • Say you are thinking of entering trade in a low-cap biotech stock.
  • You reviewed historical spread data. 
  • You noticed that the spread widens significantly during low-volume periods.
  • Using this insight, you decided to enter trades during times of higher liquidity.

 

Now, let’s understand through multiple scenarios how changes in the liquidity information influence trading decisions.

Scenario I: Choosing a Trading Strategy during a Market Event

  • Assume that a major tech company is about to release its quarterly earnings report.
  • A trader uses volume bars and DOM indicators to observe liquidity.
  • They notice increased pre-announcement trading activity and narrow spreads.
  • Based on the high liquidity, the trader opts for a high-frequency trading strategy.
  • They decide to capitalize on small price movements during the earnings release.

Scenario II: Deciding When to Enter or Exit a Trade

  • A trader is considering a swing trade in a small-cap energy stock with known volatility.
  • Reviewing historical spread data and volume bars, the trader notices that
    • Liquidity tends to spike during midday trading sessions

but

  • Drops significantly during market open and close.
  • To minimize market impact and avoid wide spreads, the trader plans to enter the position during the midday session.
  • That’s because, during the midday session, liquidity is high.
  • Also, the trader decided to exit during a similar high-liquidity period.

Scenario III: Adjusting to Market Depth Insights

  • A position trader is interested in a niche manufacturing stock expecting growth from a new product launch.
  • The trader checks the DOM.
  • They find the market depth to be shallow.
  • Aware of the low liquidity, the trader decides to enter the position with limited orders spread over several days.
  • The trader sets wider stop-loss levels to accommodate potential volatility due to the low liquidity.

Conclusion

A deep understanding of stock market liquidity is essential for making informed trading decisions. Liquidity affects how easily you can buy or sell stocks without causing significant price changes. By analyzing liquidity, you can choose the right trading strategies, manage risks effectively, and improve your chances of achieving better trading outcomes.

Most traders perform liquidity analysis using tools like volume bars, depth of market indicators, and historical spread data. These tools help traders understand how liquid a stock is. For example, high-liquidity stocks support strategies like high-frequency trading, where tighter stop-losses and quick trades are beneficial. On the other hand, low-liquidity stocks require strategies like swing trading or position trading, where you need wider stop-losses and a more patient approach.

By understanding liquidity, you can also avoid high trading costs and eliminate the risk of significant price movements against your position. Furthermore, by using advanced market analysis tools like Bookmap, you can identify true liquidity with ease and gain a competitive position. Learn how you can do so.

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